D. DISCUSS, BASED ONLY ON THE INFORMATION PROVIDED, ONE BENEFIT AND...

6-D. Discuss, based only on the information provided, one benefit and one shortcoming of Greer’s

consideration of a Monte Carlo simulation approach.

Page 38 Level III

Answer Question 6-E on This Page

Determine the most

likely effect (decrease,

no change, increase)

on the Mattisons’

Justify your response.

longevity risk of

accepting the

DC conversion offer.

(circle one)

decrease

no change

increase

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MARKS MADE ON THIS PAGE ARE

NOT GRADED

Page 40 Level III

QUESTION 7 HAS THREE PARTS (A, B, C) FOR A TOTAL OF 17 MINUTES.

Lourdes Gonzalez, 48 years old, is a successful entrepreneur who owns a chocolate company

worth USD 150,000,000. She owns 100% of its equity, representing the majority of her net

worth. Gonzalez is exploring a sale of the company.

Acquisitions in Gonzalez’s industry are typically priced at close to the same multiple of earnings.

She is convinced that her company, despite having similar characteristics to the rest of the

industry, is worth at least a 25% premium to that valuation multiple. Gonzalez searches for

expert opinions that would support her opinion of the company’s valuation.

A. Identify the cognitive behavioral bias most likely exhibited by Gonzalez. Justify your

response.

3 minutes (Answer 7-A on page 42)

One month later, Gonzalez contacts an investment banker. She wants to diversify a significant

portion of her equity in the company and generate liquidity.

Even though she has a capable senior management team, Gonzalez believes that she can still add

substantial value to the business for several years. As a result, she wants to achieve the

following objectives in the near term:

• Keep her current management responsibilities

• Retain some upside exposure to the value of the business

• Surrender majority ownership of the company

• Avoid scrutiny from the broad investment community

Gonzalez asks the investment banker for a strategy that will achieve all of her objectives. The

investment banker presents the following four potential monetization strategies: