1A2I SCARF CORPORATION’S CONTROLLER HAS DECIDED TO USE A DECISION MOD...

33. CSO: 1A2e LOS: 1A2i

Scarf Corporation’s controller has decided to use a decision model to cope with

uncertainty. With a particular proposal, currently under consideration, Scarf has two

possible actions, invest or not invest in a joint venture with an international firm. The

controller has determined the following.

Action 1: Invest in the Joint Venture

Events and Probabilities:

Probability of success = 60%.

Cost of investment = $9.5 million.

Cash flow if investment is successful = $15.0 million.

Cash flow if investment is unsuccessful = $2.0 million.

Additional costs to be paid = $0

Costs incurred up to this point = $650,000.

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Action 2: Do Not Invest in the Joint Venture

Events

Additional costs to be paid = $100,000.

Which one of the following alternatives correctly reflects the respective expected values

of investing versus not investing?

a. $300,000 and $(750,000).

b. $(350,000) and $(100,000).

c. $300,000 and (100,000).

d. $(350,000) and $(750,000).