QUESTIONS 43-48 RELATE TO FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT. QUESTIONS...
6.32 is the modified duration. If the portfolio is fully funded with GBP12 million to match the
present value of the liabilities, what is the effect on the surplus (asset PV - liability PV) of an
immediate 1.5 percentage point decrease in all yields?
A) There will be no change in the surplus.
B) The surplus will turn positive.
C) The surplus will turn negative.
ExplanationPercent change in value can be estimated as:
[-MD × ∆Yield] + [½ × Convexity × (∆Yield)
2
]
Where MD is modified duration.
We know the initial surplus is zero (PVA = PVL).
We can calculate the estimated % change in value to the assets and liabilities to determine the
change in value of the surplus.
For a 1.5% decline in yields:
%∆Liabilities = [-6.34 × -0.015] + [½ × 47.75 × (-0.015)
2
] = +10.05%
%∆Portfolio S = [-6.32 × -0.015] + [½ × 68.34 × (-0.015)
2